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Expected Value · Difficulty 6/10 · ~40 min

Expected Value & Linearity

  • Compute expected value from definitions
  • Apply linearity of expectation
  • Design indicator variables

Expected value is probability's center of mass — the long-run average of a random quantity. And it obeys one law so powerful it feels illegal: expectations add, *even when the random quantities depend on each other*. Linearity of expectation solves AIME problems that direct computation cannot touch.

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